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Thread: NFL Season Win Totals

  1. #1
    Varsity Player Houghton Chemical's Avatar
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    Default NFL Season Win Totals

    South Point posted its Season Win Totals today (4/30) Is it too early to get a discussion going? I'm somewhat surprised that even with the key offseason acquisitions, New England opened at 11. In years past, they were higher. They're giving Tennessee a lot of respect, but maybe that's due to their division? I kinda like Jacksonville's Over at 5.5 and think Detroit could be a sub-.500 team.


    New England Patriots 11 over-120


    Pittsburgh Steelers 10.5 over-120


    Seattle Seahawks 10.5 over/under-110


    Atlanta Falcons 10 under-120


    Green Bay Packers 10 under-120


    Dallas Cowboys 9.5 over-120


    Oakland Raiders 9.5 over-120


    Tennessee Titans 9.5 under-120


    Baltimore Ravens 9.5 under-125


    Carolina Panthers 9 over-120


    Kansas City Chiefs 9 over-120


    New York Giants 9 over-115


    Indianapolis Colts 9 under-115


    Cincinnati Bengals 8.5 over-120


    Denver Broncos 8.5 over-120


    Houston Texans 8.5 over-120


    Minnesota Vikings 8.5 over/under-110


    Philadelphia Eagles 8.5 over/under-110


    New Orleans Saints 8.5 under-120


    Detroit Lions 8 over/under-110


    Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8 over/under-110


    Washington Redskins 7.5 over-120


    Arizona Cardinals 7.5 over/under-110


    Los Angeles Chargers 7.5 over/under-110


    Miami Dolphins 7.5 over/under-110


    Buffalo Bills 6 over/under-110


    Jacksonville Jaguars 5.5 over-120


    Los Angeles Rams 5.5 over-120


    New York Jets 5.5 over-120


    Chicago Bears 5 over/under-110


    San Francisco 49ers 4.5 over/under-110


    Cleveland Browns 4 over/under-110



  2. #2
    Banned dudleysdad's Avatar
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    Quick shit look n go
    browns over
    oakland over
    jets over

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    Chill Winstonnn! MusicCityGambler's Avatar
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    I'm biased but I think the only thing that can prevent the Titans from winning 11 or 12 games is another injury to Mariota. They've greatly upgraded their return game with Jackson and Davis is a beast. They have the best offensive line in the NFL and have no real weaknesses. If they were in a bigger market I have no doubt the media would be hyping them as a legit threat to have a big season.

    They are begging people to take out the equity on their mortgage and bet Dallas over. Therefore the under has to be the play. Lots of confidence by the books to allow themselves a substantial loss if the Cowboys win ten games.
    "Gold is the money of kings; silver is the money of gentlemen; barter is the money of peasants; but debt is the money of slaves." - Norm Franz

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    Making CTG Great Again P-Unit's Avatar
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    Seattle over. 4 auto wins in the division and split at worst with AZ. I wouldn't play at 11 but 10.5 is good IMO. I like Oakland too.

    Fins over (defense is good and offense getting better) and Balty under (that defense was awful last year in critical moments and they don't seem to have weapons in the passing game).

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    Banned dudleysdad's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by MusicCityGambler View Post
    I'm biased but I think the only thing that can prevent the Titans from winning 11 or 12 games is another injury to Mariota. They've greatly upgraded their return game with Jackson and Davis is a beast. They have the best offensive line in the NFL and have no real weaknesses. If they were in a bigger market I have no doubt the media would be hyping them as a legit threat to have a big season.

    They are begging people to take out the equity on their mortgage and bet Dallas over. Therefore the under has to be the play. Lots of confidence by the books to allow themselves a substantial loss if the Cowboys win ten games.

    Right on
    they win 10 games easy.

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    The Vodka Shakes KJ's Avatar
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    Tennessee I like, think Houston will be overvalued in that division. I do not think Seattle wins 5 in the West, and they get the 1st place sched (GB, ATL, DAL)

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    Seasoned Veteran CASH's Avatar
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    Pats over 11 ...HUGE.... Find me 4 losses, never mind 5... I see 3 maybe...

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    Check out my License Plate Marlo's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by CASH View Post
    Pats over 11 ...HUGE.... Find me 4 losses, never mind 5... I see 3 maybe...


    ----

    I give them 11-5...with losses @ NO, Miami, Pitt, Denver, and OAK.... This figures them 8-0 @ home, which is 100% reasonable.

    If they can flip one of those, they go 12-4, or maybe 2 13-3.
    ,
    Upgrades all over the field, w/o any key losses.

  9. #9
    Check out my License Plate Marlo's Avatar
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    The Jets at under 5.5 is nice....that team is the furthest away from being competitive amongst any teams in the NFL. I would say even further away than the Browns

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    CTG Super Moderator guaranteeed's Avatar
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    I think even of those pats 5 losses you have they can easily win. 2 or 3

    Oakland isn't even away it's neutral site

    I'd say 7-1 at home just to factor in one off game, then all you need is 4-4 away for a push and 5-3 or 6-2 are not a shock at all

  11. #11
    Seasoned Veteran CASH's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by guaranteeed View Post
    I think even of those pats 5 losses you have they can easily win. 2 or 3

    Oakland isn't even away it's neutral site

    I'd say 7-1 at home just to factor in one off game, then all you need is 4-4 away for a push and 5-3 or 6-2 are not a shock at all
    Same thoughts for their schedule.

  12. #12
    Check out my License Plate Marlo's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by guaranteeed View Post
    I think even of those pats 5 losses you have they can easily win. 2 or 3

    Oakland isn't even away it's neutral site

    I'd say 7-1 at home just to factor in one off game, then all you need is 4-4 away for a push and 5-3 or 6-2 are not a shock at all
    just trying to be unbiased...i actually see 16-0.

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    Chill Winstonnn! MusicCityGambler's Avatar
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    Anybody else just love the Dallas under? I just can't see how they go over when a ten win season would certainly means massive losses for the books.

    I don't really understand Baltimore 9.5. I would be inclined to under them but the line seems to really top out for them.

    Carolina over 9 is enticing.
    "Gold is the money of kings; silver is the money of gentlemen; barter is the money of peasants; but debt is the money of slaves." - Norm Franz

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    Seasoned Veteran Lexington 125's Avatar
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    I think my Bills win 7 games and Jets u5.5 is pretty solid

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    Quote Originally Posted by Marlo View Post
    The Jets at under 5.5 is nice....that team is the furthest away from being competitive amongst any teams in the NFL. I would say even further away than the Browns
    Agree. I would also say the Rams will be an entirely better team from a coaching standpoint. Rams alumni have been killing kindly Jeff the Fraud Fisher.
    This team could have a bad year and still win 6.

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    Resident Newlywed wizardofodd's Avatar
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    played the following
    titans over 8.5-135 for 10x : i like this team, I like the coach. They didn't give up last year and they should be even better this year. I got them winning the division. got them winning 10 this year
    jets under 4.5+115 for 5x : as you guys said, this team looks like shit. I give them 3 wins this year.
    balty under 8.5 +110 for 5x : they were lucky to win 8 last year and they look worse to me. i got them at 8 wins max and thats being very very generous. likely a 6 win team
    "The reason you have bad luck is, well, its because you're a dumbass!!" - Red (That 70s Show)

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    I'm telling you guys, as bad as the Rams were last year, I say 85% of it was the cause of Fraud Fisher and his incompetent coaching staff. I've listened to alumini who have been in their meetings room such as Tom Mack, Dennis Harrah and Jackie Slater. They have kindly killed last years meeting compared to what they're hearing this year. Tom Mack said, last year was about assignments. This year it's about oline technique to fulfill their assignments.
    McVay knows how to run an offense and Wade Phillips certainly knows defense. 5.5 wins in what has become a winnable division seems very doable. I think the Rams fall into the 7-9 to 9-7 category and with a little luck could be 10-6. Their schedule is not that tough.

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    Redshirt Senior Johnnyonthespot's Avatar
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    On April 30th, the South Point Casino in Las Vegas, Nevada became the first sportsbook to post win totals for the 2017 NFL regular season. In the subsequent weeks, many offshore sportsbooks have posted their own NFL win totals including the market-setting Bookmaker.eu.
    Since these numbers were initially posted by South Point, the win totals for five teams has moved by at least a full win: New England Patriots (11 to 12.5), Jacksonville Jaguars (5.5 to 6.5), Baltimore Ravens (9.5 to 8.5), New York Jets (5.5 to 4.5) and Tennessee Titans (9.5 to 8.5). That’s great news for anybody who followed my advice and took Jacksonville Over 5.5, Tennessee Under 9.5 and Baltimore Under 9.5 back in early May.
    While sharp money is responsible for most of that movement, public money can impact the NFL win total market as we’ve seen with the New York Jets. According to the public betting trends from Bookmaker, over 90% of wagers placed on the Jets win total have taken the under — easily the most of any team in the league. That influx of public money (along with some questionable roster moves) has been largely responsible for the recent line movement.
    The table below displays the current win total and public betting percentages for every NFL team.


    Most popular overs

    1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Over 8 (88.9%)
    2. New York Giants Over 8.5 (87.5%)
    3. Houston Texans Over 8 (85.7%)
    4. Carolina Panthers Over 9 (83.3%)
    5. Kansas City Chiefs Over 9 (80.0%)

    Most popular unders

    1. New York Jets Under 4.5 (93.1%)
    2. Chicago Bears Under 5.5 (85.0%)
    3. San Francisco 49ers Under 4.5 (83.3%)
    4. Los Angeles Rams Under 5.5 (77.4%)
    5. Jacksonville Jaguars Under 6.5 (76.9%)

  20. #19
    CTG Partner B.A.R.'s Avatar
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    Ty for posting.

  21. #20
    Redshirt Senior wiseplayer's Avatar
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    Watch out for the 49ers, Browns and Jets veying for the #1 pick and Sam Darnold.

  22. #21
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    Bears O5.5 obv

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