NBAX: 24-16. +6.60
NBA 2016/17: 155-165-1, -36.90
4/15/2017 8:00 PM Reduced Basketball 505 Memphis Grizzlies/San Antonio Spurs* Under 190 -105
*Well, this might be a one and done kind of thing as my interest in posting has pretty much flatlined over the past few months (the outside world holds more sway sometimes), but we'll se how it goes...
Anyways, yet another miserable regular season in the books (managed to reduce the actual deficit to the mid teens, but that's neither here nor there). Not sure exactly where or when I lost my way, but my inexplicable love affair with the under during a boom time for scoring obviously hasn't helped. So what better way to kick off the post season than... with yet another under.
From a statistical standpoint, this one seems fairly 'obvious': No's 3 (Memphis 44.3%) and 4 (San Antonio 44.3%) in Defensive FG%, No's 1 (San Antonio 103.6) and No.8 (Memphis 107.2) in Defensive Efficiency, and No's 27 (San Antonio 94.2) and 28 (Memphis 92.2) in Pace. Throw in the Spurs being Top 5 this season at home in OPPG, DEFF, and Pace, and odds are this one's not exactly a barn burner (of course, having said that, every time I took the Spurs at home this season, they'd give up 110+ to the likes of the Mavs and Jazz, so y'know...)
In terms of trends, the Under went 3-1 this season H2H (2-0 at AT&T), 3-1 during the Spurs first round series sweep last April, and 10-4 the last 14 H2H. Of course, the absence of Tony Allen kind of puts a damper on things but, then again, seems like the Grizzlies have been in full on playoff mode for the past little while now (lowest pace in the league the last 5 regular season games at 87.9, including a thrilling 95-89 loss in OT to these very same Spurs), so hopefully we get a full dose of the good ol' bump and grind type basketball we've become accustomed to with Memphis.