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Thread: NBA Playoff Plays (Finals)...

  1. #1
    Eagles? Go the Phillies emkee's Avatar
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    Default NBA Playoff Plays (Finals)...

    Regular:

    55-48 (+23.42)

    Playoffs:

    22-20-1 (+9.2)

    Overall:

    77-68-1 (+32.62)

    Not having the greatest playoff run in 2014 but still turning a profit so can't complain.

    Really like the Spurs to win the 'ship at first glance. Team is straight super-resilient tough and fought to get here in a fairly stacked Western Conference, Heat on the other hand were a no-doubter from day 1 to rep the East come Finals time.

    Perfect soap opera finish here would be SA winning the Finals somewhat forcing LBJ back to Cleveland to snuggle up with all the number 1 picks the Cavs got given by Stern and add some sheen to the shitty state of Ohio. Who knows.

    Already have a decent lean for Game 1 but will most likely wait on the ref info before locking it in.

    GL all...



  2. #2
    Resident Newlywed wizardofodd's Avatar
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    Good luck emcee! Hope the Spurs win it all.
    "The reason you have bad luck is, well, its because you're a dumbass!!" - Red (That 70s Show)

  3. #3
    The Reverend of CTG Gorgolon Lives's Avatar
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    Tim Duncan pulling his best Matt Hasselbeck

  4. #4
    Eagles? Go the Phillies emkee's Avatar
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    Strong lean on the home team for Game 1, have it lined at -5 with everything factored in. Will wait on refs and possible line drop although I doubt it matters, considering laying 4.5 at plus money.

  5. #5
    CTG Partner B.A.R.'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by emkee View Post
    Strong lean on the home team for Game 1, have it lined at -5 with everything factored in. Will wait on refs and possible line drop although I doubt it matters, considering laying 4.5 at plus money.

    My early lean as well...

    If the Meat win one down there it is G2 imo.
    Originally Posted by tipyerbartender
    Good times with good friends, that's what grilled cheese means to me.

  6. #6
    Eagles? Go the Phillies emkee's Avatar
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    ^yep.

    Looks like the line may go the other way, doubt we'll get better than a flat 4 come gameday. Juiced 4's now popping up at the 'offshores that matter'.

  7. #7
    Eagles? Go the Phillies emkee's Avatar
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    Okay.

    Finals Game 1...

    Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs

    The play...

    Spurs ML -172 (5 units to win 2.9)







    Last edited by emkee; 06-04-2014 at 05:18 PM.

  8. #8
    Eagles? Go the Phillies emkee's Avatar
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    Some numbers and the like...

    Home team in Game 1 of the Finals is 19-6 SU (76%) since the 88/89 season.

    Spurs are 10-0 SU in their last 10 Game 1's. LeBron is 0-7 SU (0-4 with Cleveland, 0-3 with Miami) on the road in Game 1 of a series with his teams losing by an average of 12.3 points.

    Spurs have never lost the opening game of the Finals. They are 5-0 SU all-time winning by an average of 10.4 points.

    A quirky one but the road team has never won back to back Game 1's of the Finals since the NBA and ABA merged in 1976. Spurs won last season's Finals opener in Miami.
    Last edited by emkee; 06-04-2014 at 06:20 PM.

  9. #9
    Eagles? Go the Phillies emkee's Avatar
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    A spread bet will be warranted if I see Tony Brothers name on the 'ref assignments' due out tomorrow morning.

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    I know the numbers don't support it but id feel a lot better if Joey c isn't assigned tomorrow

  11. #11
    CTG Partner B.A.R.'s Avatar
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    Get em bubba...:thumbsup2:
    Originally Posted by tipyerbartender
    Good times with good friends, that's what grilled cheese means to me.

  12. #12
    Eagles? Go the Phillies emkee's Avatar
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    Thanks man.

    Very popular play in Game 1 are the Spurs, hate the steam. Probably gonna have a whole lotta tout love too.

    Breaking things down, SA just looks so good in the opener it's scary.

    Ref deployments up in 1.5 hours.

  13. #13
    Eagles? Go the Phillies emkee's Avatar
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    Thu, Jun 05Created: Jun 05,2014 08:00 AM ET
    Game Official 1 Official 2 Official 3 Alternate
    Miami @ San Antonio Scott Foster Marc Davis Ken Mauer John Goble

    Not the best assignments if you're on the Spurs...

  14. #14
    Eagles? Go the Phillies emkee's Avatar
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    Heat were 4-1 SU (combined) with these guys in the Finals vs the Spurs last season and the Heat are 28-9 SU (combined) during the playoffs in the LeBron era under these refs.

    Scott Foster, ftw...

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    Eagles? Go the Phillies emkee's Avatar
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    Er'body on the Spurs across the internets. Extremely lopsided.

  16. #16
    CTG Partner B.A.R.'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by emkee View Post
    Er'body on the Spurs across the internets. Extremely lopsided.
    I am leaning on laying off now or watching and playing live...
    Originally Posted by tipyerbartender
    Good times with good friends, that's what grilled cheese means to me.

  17. #17
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    Quote Originally Posted by emkee View Post
    Er'body on the Spurs across the internets. Extremely lopsided.
    It matters absolutely 0% in the playoffs. The opening number is what matters. -4 is very strong. 57% on spurs ATS per sportsinsights.

  18. #18
    Eagles? Go the Phillies emkee's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by nbafan88 View Post
    It matters absolutely 0% in the playoffs. The opening number is what matters. -4 is very strong. 57% on spurs ATS per sportsinsights.
    Not concerned, just making it known.

    More concerned about the refs.

  19. #19
    Eagles? Go the Phillies emkee's Avatar
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    Heat at almost +200 on the moneyline. Wow.

  20. #20
    The Reverend of CTG Gorgolon Lives's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by emkee View Post
    Er'body on the Spurs across the internets. Extremely lopsided.
    Steve Stevens included

  21. #21
    Eagles? Go the Phillies emkee's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gorgolon Lives View Post
    Steve Stevens included
    And the other guy.



  22. #22
    Eagles? Go the Phillies emkee's Avatar
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    Touts and refs aside, Coach Popovich is a Game 1 champion. Given time to prepare none come close, if I go down because the FT count is 40-15 in the Meats' favor - then so be it. This is a pristine spot for the Spurs regardless and bet it accordingly.

  23. #23
    Eagles? Go the Phillies emkee's Avatar
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    Heat 0-6 SU (0-5-1 ATS) last 6 games as an underdog.

  24. #24
    Awesomeitus Degenerate smh212's Avatar
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    I bought a bad number with Heat +3.5. I would play the Heat at +5, 3.5 is terrible. Still, I think the extra rest and underdog role are strong for Miami, and they have the best player in the series.

    GL.
    Allen Iverson is the single greatest SCORER in NBA history.


  25. #25
    Eagles? Go the Phillies emkee's Avatar
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    Heat just don't seem to care too much for Game 1 and still find a way to win playoff series. Think SA will see this as a failure if they don't take the opener, they are a better team than the one that lost in the Finals last season. Miami know SA may blow their load tonight given the season long build-up and may be content to take the first knockdown, realizing it's probably an easier proposition to steal Game 2. Heat play focused playoff basketball much better off a loss than off a win, it's proven.

  26. #26
    Lenny Dykstra's Portfolio Manager P-Unit's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by emkee View Post
    Heat 0-6 SU (0-5-1 ATS) last 6 games as an underdog.
    Jalen just sais Heat have lost last 7 game 1's on the road...

  27. #27
    Eagles? Go the Phillies emkee's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by P-Unit View Post
    Jalen just sais Heat have lost last 7 game 1's on the road...
    Post #8...

  28. #28
    SpongeBob Squarecapper Retburj13's Avatar
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    nice call homey
    What exactly is your point and when the FUCK will you be getting to it...

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    CTG Super Moderator HUNT's Avatar
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    good job em

  30. #30
    Eagles? Go the Phillies emkee's Avatar
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    Thanks fellas.

    Took a dodgy air conditioner but I'll take it.

  31. #31
    CTG Partner B.A.R.'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by emkee View Post
    And the other guy.



    lmao at that emoticon.
    Originally Posted by tipyerbartender
    Good times with good friends, that's what grilled cheese means to me.

  32. #32
    CTG Partner B.A.R.'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by emkee View Post
    Thanks fellas.

    Took a dodgy air conditioner but I'll take it.
    Originally Posted by tipyerbartender
    Good times with good friends, that's what grilled cheese means to me.

  33. #33
    Bringing Sexy Back TheCashMan's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by emkee View Post
    Thanks fellas.

    Took a dodgy air conditioner but I'll take it.
    :thumbsup2:
    Futures:
    Sf. giants to win pennant -W
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  34. #34
    Eagles? Go the Phillies emkee's Avatar
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    23-20-1 (+12.1)

    Finals Game 2...

    An almost auto-play here. Will be popular again but the only option for me in Game 2. Square.

    Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs

    The play...

    Heat +4.5 (2 units)

    Would condone a ML play on Miami but will take the 'insurance' just in-case. Heat are proven 'responders' off a loss in the postseason and Coach Spo is the 2nd best 'adjuster' in the league, if tonight's the night they finally go down 0-2 in a series so be it - will bet Game 3 accordingly.

    Cramp-gate has given LBJ enough of a chip he should respond like a champion, expecting the dude to go alpha.

    Also welcome the ref assignments but who knows with these crooks and their agendas.


  35. #35
    Lenny Dykstra's Portfolio Manager P-Unit's Avatar
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    completely agree. GL on the action em

  36. #36
    CTG Psychiatrist - Dr. Tim Timh's Avatar
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    BOL Emkee.

  37. #37
    Eagles? Go the Phillies emkee's Avatar
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    Thanks fellas.

  38. #38
    SpongeBob Squarecapper Retburj13's Avatar
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    nice hit
    What exactly is your point and when the FUCK will you be getting to it...

  39. #39
    Eagles? Go the Phillies emkee's Avatar
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    Ret...



    Feel I've got a decent read on this series, Game 3 will tell. Already have a lean.

    Could argue the Heat were a shitty air conditioner and some cramps away from a 2-0 start to the series.

    Spurs are the better team, Heat have the best player.

    LeBron basically won that game on his own proving 'best team' is overrated in Stern's league which is totally star-driven.

    Heat supporting cast are capable unlike that trash he had in Cleveland and only need to hit a timely jumper/outside shot every now and then and have LBJ do the rest in order to 3-peat. Dude is straight unguardable.

    Spurs can only win in blowouts, if it's close late they don't stand a chance.

  40. #40
    SpongeBob Squarecapper Retburj13's Avatar
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    NBA is a talent league and cramps or not, Lebum is still the best on the court

    that and some timely plays by the cast of heat characters should be enuff but Pop and crew are solid and deep so this has 7 games all over it
    What exactly is your point and when the FUCK will you be getting to it...

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